The Pause Observed Global Warming Will Not Last Long

The slowdown or pause in climate change is natural variation and will not last long, according to the draft report to be presented next week the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

According to this draft of 127 pages and its executive summary, factors such as the volcanic ash cloud or a drop in the energy emitted by the sun may be contributing factors to a slowdown of the phenomenon.

The report is the fifth that made this panel, consisting of some 3,000 scientists from around the world, and updated data in the IV report, which was published in 2007. The document is a tool for governments and especially taken into account in the Conference of the Parties to the Framework Convention on Climate Change which aims to reach a binding agreement in 2015 that allows curb to rising global temperatures and agree on measures to reduce its effects.

The fact that temperatures are rising at a slower pace in recent years despite increases in greenhouse gas emissions has strengthened these current deniers and skeptics.

However, the draft, which has had access to Reuters, expects this ‘pause’ is temporary and that the rate of temperature rise will resume shortly and as a result, there will be more extreme events such as heat waves, droughts, floods and rising sea level.

"Without major volcanic eruption, most 15-year trends of average surface temperatures in the short term will be greater than during 1998 to 2012." says the report.

Specifically, it predicts that between 2016 and 2035, temperatures would be around 0.3 to 0.7 degree Celsius over the period 1986-2005. "Periods of breaks of fifteen are common" in both historical records and in computer models, says the technical summary.

Also, the draft provides that temperature could rise up to 4.8 degree Celsius this century, well above the limit of 2 degrees Celsius, ceiling target to which they aspire to achieve in a bilateral governments. 
 
Since people are now very much aware of the global warning issue and there have been many campaigns to face this natural challenge positively and this awareness has made people use the environment friendly products such as solar panels and many green products.

Climate Service Center in Germany, Guy Brasseur, said that the pause is not a sign that the warming trend is gone.

In this line, AEMET spokesman, Fermín Elizaga, explained Friday that the slowdown of global warming is ‘true’ because the progression of rising temperature has slowed for progression coming since 1950. However, it has stated that it does not mean that temperatures do not rise further. "Rise, but at a slower pace and most likely, according to studies, could be due to natural variability," he concluded.